Barbara A Mellers: search on Z-Library

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1

The psychology of intelligence analysis: Drivers of prediction accuracy in world politics.

Mellers, Barbara, Stone, Eric, Atanasov, Pavel, Rohrbaugh, Nick, Metz, S. Emlen, Ungar, Lyle, Bishop, Michael M., Horowitz, Michael, Merkle, Ed, Tetlock, Philip

Journal:

Journal of Experimental Psychology: Applied

Year:

2015

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 403 KB

english, 2015

2

The Value of Precision in Probability Assessment: Evidence from a Large-Scale Geopolitical Forecasting Tournament

Friedman, Jeffrey A, Baker, Joshua D, Mellers, Barbara A, Tetlock, Philip E, Zeckhauser, Richard

Journal:

International Studies Quarterly

Year:

2018

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 584 KB

english, 2018

3

Forecasting tournaments, epistemic humility and attitude depolarization

Mellers, Barbara, Tetlock, Philip, Arkes, Hal R.

Journal:

Year:

2018

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 352 KB

english, 2018

4

Combining multiple probability predictions using a simple logit model

Satopää, Ville A., Baron, Jonathan, Foster, Dean P., Mellers, Barbara A., Tetlock, Philip E., Ungar, Lyle H.

Journal:

International Journal of Forecasting

Year:

2014

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 556 KB

english, 2014

5

Do Frequency Representations Eliminate Conjunction Effects? An Exercise in Adversarial Collaboration

Barbara Mellers, Ralph Hertwig and Daniel Kahneman

Journal:

Psychological Science

Year:

2001

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 1.71 MB

english, 2001

6

Bringing probability judgments into policy debates via forecasting tournaments

Tetlock, Philip E., Mellers, Barbara A., Scoblic, J. Peter

Journal:

Year:

2017

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 314 KB

english, 2017

7

Distilling the Wisdom of Crowds: Prediction Markets vs. Prediction Polls

Atanasov, Pavel, Rescober, Phillip, Stone, Eric, Swift, Samuel A., Servan-Schreiber, Emile, Tetlock, Philip, Ungar, Lyle, Mellers, Barbara

Journal:

Management Science

Year:

2016

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 368 KB

english, 2016

8

Emotion-based choice.

Mellers, Barbara, Schwartz, Alan, Ritov, Ilana

Journal:

Journal of Experimental Psychology: General

Year:

1999

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 1.81 MB

english, 1999

9

Strong claims and weak evidence: Reassessing the predictive validity of the IAT.

Blanton, Hart, Jaccard, James, Klick, Jonathan, Mellers, Barbara, Mitchell, Gregory, Tetlock, Philip E.

Journal:

Journal of Applied Psychology

Year:

2009

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 551 KB

english, 2009

10

Sacred versus Pseudo-Sacred Values: How People Cope with Taboo Trade-Offs

Tetlock, Philip E., Mellers, Barbara A., Scoblic, J. Peter

Journal:

American Economic Review

Year:

2017

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 449 KB

english, 2017

11

Small steps to accuracy: Incremental belief updaters are better forecasters

Atanasov, Pavel, Witkowski, Jens, Ungar, Lyle, Mellers, Barbara, Tetlock, Philip

Journal:

Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes

Year:

2020

File:

PDF, 915 KB

2020

12

Decision Neuroscience

Baba Shiv, Antoine Bechara, Irwin Levin, Joseph W. Alba, James R. Bettman, Laurette Dube, Alice Isen, Barbara Mellers, Ale Smidts, Susan J. Grant, A. Peter Mcgraw

Journal:

Marketing Letters

Year:

2005

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 120 KB

english, 2005

13

Choice and the relative pleasure of consequences.

Mellers, Barbara A.

Journal:

Psychological Bulletin

Year:

2000

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 1.27 MB

english, 2000

14

Advances in Social Cognition: Volume 1. A Dual Process Model of Impression Formationby Thomas R. Srull; Robert S. Wyer,

Review by: Barbara Mellers

Journal:

The American Journal of Psychology

Year:

1990

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 508 KB

english, 1990

15

Expectations and emotions of Olympic athletes

A. Peter McGraw, Barbara A. Mellers, Philip E. Tetlock

Journal:

Journal of Experimental Social Psychology

Year:

2005

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 364 KB

english, 2005

16

How to improve Bayesian reasoning: Comment on Gigerenzer and Hoffrage (1995).

Mellers, Barbara A., McGraw, A. Peter

Journal:

Psychological Review

Year:

1999

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 733 KB

english, 1999

17

Multiple Goals as Reference Points: One Failure Makes Everything Else Feel Worse

Weingarten, Evan, Bhatia, Sudeep, Mellers, Barbara

Journal:

Management Science

Year:

2018

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 1.25 MB

english, 2018

18

What Makes Foreign Policy Teams Tick: Explaining Variation in Group Performance at Geopolitical Forecasting

Horowitz, Michael, Stewart, Brandon M., Tingley, Dustin, Bishop, Michael, Resnick Samotin, Laura, Roberts, Margaret, Chang, Welton, Mellers, Barbara, Tetlock, Philip

Journal:

Journal of Politics

Year:

2019

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 1.26 MB

english, 2019

19

The Agony of Victory and Thrill of Defeat: Mixed Emotional Reactions to Disappointing Wins and Relieving Losses

Jeff T. Larsen, A. Peter McGraw, Barbara A. Mellers and John T. Cacioppo

Journal:

Psychological Science

Year:

2004

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 1.25 MB

english, 2004

20

Extending the Bounds of Rationality: Evidence and Theories of Preferential Choice

Jörg Rieskamp, Jerome R. Busemeyer and Barbara A. Mellers

Journal:

Journal of Economic Literature

Year:

2006

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 4.59 MB

english, 2006

21

Sixth Invitational Choice Symposium || Decision Neuroscience

Baba Shiv, Antoine Bechara, Irwin Levin, Joseph W. Alba, James R. Bettman, Laurette Dube, Alice Isen, Barbara Mellers, Ale Smidts, Susan J. Grant and A. Peter McGraw

Journal:

Marketing Letters

Year:

2005

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 1.07 MB

english, 2005

22

Judgments of social justice: Compromises between equality and efficiency.

Mitchell, Gregory, Tetlock, Philip E., Mellers, Barbara A., Ordóñez, Lisa D.

Journal:

Journal of Personality and Social Psychology

Year:

1993

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 1.30 MB

english, 1993

23

Confidence Calibration in a Multiyear Geopolitical Forecasting Competition

Moore, Don A., Swift, Samuel A., Minster, Angela, Mellers, Barbara, Ungar, Lyle, Tetlock, Philip, Yang, Heather H. J., Tenney, Elizabeth R.

Journal:

Management Science

Year:

2016

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 534 KB

english, 2016

24

Decision making: Descriptive, normative and prescriptive interactions: David Bell, Howard Raiffa, and Amos Tversky. New York/London: Cambridge University Press, 1988. Pp. 450. $65.00 (hard), $29.95 (paper)

Barbara Mellers

Journal:

Journal of Mathematical Psychology

Year:

1990

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 272 KB

english, 1990

25

Rational choice in an uncertain world: Robyn M. Dawes San Diego: Harcourt Brace Jovanovich, 1988. Pp. xi + 346, $10.00 (paper)

Barbara Mellers

Journal:

Journal of Mathematical Psychology

Year:

1990

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 249 KB

english, 1990

26

Decreased radioiodine uptake of FRTL-5 cells after131I incubation in vitro: molecular biological investigations indicate a cell cycle-dependent pathway

Birgit Meller, Erzsébet Gaspar, Wibke Deisting, Barbara Czarnocka, Manfred Baehre, Björn E. Wenzel

Journal:

European Journal of Nuclear Medicine and Molecular Imaging

Year:

2008

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 239 KB

english, 2008

27

Predicting behavior in economic games by looking through the eyes of the players.

Mellers, Barbara A., Haselhuhn, Michael P., Tetlock, Philip E., Silva, José C., Isen, Alice M.

Journal:

Journal of Experimental Psychology: General

Year:

2010

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 552 KB

english, 2010

28

What might have been? The role of the ventromedial prefrontal cortex and lateral orbitofrontal cortex in counterfactual emotions and choice

Levens, Sara M., Larsen, Jeff T., Bruss, Joel, Tranel, Daniel, Bechara, Antoine, Mellers, Barbara A.

Journal:

Neuropsychologia

Year:

2014

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 5.71 MB

english, 2014

29

Do Juries Meet Our Expectations?

Hal R. Arkes and Barbara A. Mellers

Journal:

Law and Human Behavior

Year:

2002

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 369 KB

english, 2002

30

Enhanced Model Formulations for Optimal Facility Layout

Sherali, Hanif D., Fraticelli, Barbara M. P., Meller, Russell D.

Journal:

Operations Research

Year:

2003

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 269 KB

english, 2003

31

Decision Science and Technology || On the Relevance of Behavioral Decision Research for Decision Analysis

Shanteau, James, Mellers, Barbara A., Schum, David A.

Year:

1999

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 2.87 MB

english, 1999

32

Two Reasons to Make Aggregated Probability Forecasts More Extreme

Baron, Jonathan, Mellers, Barbara A., Tetlock, Philip E., Stone, Eric, Ungar, Lyle H.

Journal:

Decision Analysis

Year:

2014

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 287 KB

english, 2014

33

Human Judgment and Social Policy: Irreducible Uncertainty, Inevitable Error, Unavoidable Injusticeby Kenneth R. Hammond

Review by: Barbara Mellers

Journal:

Political Psychology

Year:

1999

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 437 KB

english, 1999

34

Extending the Bounds of Rationality: Evidence and Theories of Preferential Choice

Rieskamp, Jörg, Busemeyer, Jerome R, Mellers, Barbara A

Journal:

Journal of Economic Literature

Year:

2006

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 306 KB

english, 2006

35

Combined LM and SEM study of the middle Miocene (Sarmatian) palynoflora from the Lavanttal Basin, Austria: part IV. Magnoliophyta 2 – Fagales to Rosales

Grímsson, FriĐgeir, Grimm, Guido W., Meller, Barbara, Bouchal, Johannes M., Zetter, Reinhard

Journal:

Year:

2015

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 9.60 MB

english, 2015

36

Accountability Systems and Group Norms: Balancing the Risks of Mindless Conformity and Reckless Deviation

Patil, Shefali V., Tetlock, Philip E., Mellers, Barbara A.

Journal:

Journal of Behavioral Decision Making

Year:

2016

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 2.10 MB

english, 2016

37

The Effects of Pictorial Realism, Delay of Visual Feedback, and Observer Interactivity on the Subjective Sense of Presence

Welch, Robert B., Blackmon, Theodore T., Liu, Andrew, Mellers, Barbara A., Stark, Lawrence W.

Journal:

Presence Teleoperators & Virtual Environments

Year:

1996

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 5.53 MB

english, 1996

38

Choice in Computer-Mediated Environments

Russell S. Winer, John Deighton, Sunil Gupta, Eric J. Johnson, Barbara Mellers, Vicki G. Morwitz, Thomas O'Guinn, Arvind Rangaswamy and Alan G. Sawyer

Journal:

Marketing Letters

Year:

1997

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 840 KB

english, 1997

39

The credit quality channel: Modeling contagion in the interbank market

Fink, Kilian, Krüger, Ulrich, Meller, Barbara, Wong, Lui-Hsian

Journal:

Journal of Financial Stability

Year:

2016

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 973 KB

english, 2016

40

Bayesian inference: Combining base rates with opinions of sources who vary in credibility.

Birnbaum, Michael H., Mellers, Barbara A.

Journal:

Journal of Personality and Social Psychology

Year:

1983

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 1.13 MB

english, 1983

41

Item response models of probability judgments: Application to a geopolitical forecasting tournament.

Merkle, Edgar C., Steyvers, Mark, Mellers, Barbara, Tetlock, Philip E.

Journal:

Year:

2016

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 905 KB

english, 2016

42

The synchronization of credit cycles

Meller, Barbara, Metiu, Norbert

Journal:

Journal of Banking & Finance

Year:

2017

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 1014 KB

english, 2017

43

A neglected dimension of good forecasting judgment: The questions we choose also matter

Merkle, Edgar C., Steyvers, Mark, Mellers, Barbara, Tetlock, Philip E.

Journal:

International Journal of Forecasting

Year:

2017

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 775 KB

english, 2017

44

Amber from the Alpine Triassic of Lunz (Carnian, Austria): a classic palaeobotanical site

Fischer, Thilo C., Sonibare, Oluwadayo O., Aschauer, Birgitt, Kleine-Benne, Eike, Braun, Paula, Meller, Barbara, Seyfullah, Leyla

Journal:

Year:

2017

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 3.81 MB

english, 2017

45

Book Review: Local justice in America, Jon Elster (ed.), New York: Russell Sage Foundation, 1995, 328 pp., ISBN 0-87154-233-1.

Barbara Mellers

Journal:

Journal of Behavioral Decision Making

Year:

1997

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 62 KB

english, 1997

46

The affective costs of overconfidence

A. Peter McGraw, Barbara A. Mellers, Ilana Ritov

Journal:

Journal of Behavioral Decision Making

Year:

2004

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 143 KB

english, 2004

47

How beliefs influence the relative magnitude of pleasure and pain

Barbara A. Mellers, Ilana Ritov

Journal:

Journal of Behavioral Decision Making

Year:

2010

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 176 KB

english, 2010

48

Worm chromosomes call for recognition!

Barbara P. Rattner, Victoria H. Meller

Journal:

Year:

2004

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 101 KB

english, 2004

49

Electrophysiological evidence for a large receptor reserve for inhibition of dorsal raphe neuronal firing by 5-HT1A agonists

Richard F. Cox, Emanuel Meller, Barbara L. Waszczak

Journal:

Year:

1993

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 916 KB

english, 1993

50

Violations of dominance in pricing judgments

Barbara Mellers, Robin Weiss, Michael Birnbaum

Journal:

Journal of Risk and Uncertainty

Year:

1992

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 1.21 MB

english, 1992

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